Two big bonus plays letâs start with the Twins:
Pavano has been their best starter in which heâs got a 6-0 record and 2.74 ERA in his last 8 starts as opponents managed just a .204 average. Heâs got a career 3.28 ERA vs. the Orioles in 8 career starts. He will also be backed by the Twins who hit .289 with runners in scoring position (best in majors) while the Orioles .226 is the worst!
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Millwood takes the mound despite a lingering forearm injury that canât help his chances vs. the Twins who have 157 AB and a .376 average vs. Millwwood who is 0-8 with a 5.71 ERA in 13 career starts vs. the Twins. Baltimore I sjust 20-46 in night starts and the Twins are scoring runs again 7.24 per 9 vs. RHP in their last 5. 70% of the Twins road wins have been by 1+ run while 87% of the Orioles losses have been by 1+ run.
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Rangers go with Cliff Lee who has 5 of 6 complete games. I think he finally starts to get the run support pitching at home in Texas. Heâs got a 1.73 ERA vs. the Angels in his last 3 starts over 26 IP with 2 complete games. He goes up against Weaver who hasnât won @Texas in his career 0-6. Since 2008 heâs got 5.84 ERA in Texas where the Rangers this season are hitting .300 while scoring 6.07 runs per 9 vs. RHP. LA is 3-7 in Weaverâs last 10 starts as a dog and the Rangers are 61-28 in their last 85 as a favorite -151 to -200.
